Global modeling analysis reveals strong earthquakes caused 38.86 teragrams of carbon loss worldwide, highlighting geophysical risks to carbon accounting.
Earthquakes disrupt terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage by triggering landslides and altering land cover, yet a global quantification of these carbon losses has been lacking. Here we quantify the global earthquake-induced carbon losses by combining vegetation models, land cover, carbon density, and earthquake records. Focusing on strong earthquakes worldwide between 2006 and 2018, we find that these events cause a cumulative loss of 38.86 ± 6.23 teragrams of carbon by 2022. Forest ecosystems require at least six years to begin recovery. These carbon losses are unevenly distributed across countries, with 84.6% of affected countries being emerging and developing economies. In Nepal and Ecuador, cumulative earthquake-induced carbon losses exceed half of their cumulative land-use change emissions during the post-earthquake period. Our study establishes a global benchmark for carbon losses from geophysical disturbances, offering a crucial reference for national carbon accounting and disaster resilience strategies.
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He et al. (2026) studied this question.
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