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September 5, 2026JAMA Otolaryngology–Head & Neck Surgery

Tissue-Informed ctDNA Assay Performance in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

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Authors

RSRyan M. SicardPCPeter V. CookeASAlyssa Steinbaum

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Overview

Retrospective cohort study demonstrates high diagnostic sensitivity and specificity for personalized ctDNA assays in head and neck cancer, indicating strong utility for disease surveillance.

Key Points

  • To evaluate the detection characteristics of an individualized, tissue-informed circulating tumor DNA assay across pretreatment and surveillance settings in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.
  • Retrospective cohort study of adults with HPV-positive and HPV-negative head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated at an urban tertiary care center between December 2024 and March 2026.
  • Individualized ctDNA blood tests were developed from tumor tissue collected by fine-needle aspiration or surgical biopsy.
  • Assessed test detection rates in a pretreatment cohort (N=77) and diagnostic metrics (sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values) in a surveillance cohort (N=107; median follow-up 18 months posttreatment).
  • In the pretreatment cohort, tissue-informed ctDNA was successfully detected in 92.2% of patients (71 of 77).
  • In surveillance, per-test performance demonstrated 95.2% sensitivity (20 of 21; 95% CI, 83.3%-100%), 100% specificity (157 of 157; 95% CI, 100%-100%), 100% PPV (20 of 20; 95% CI, 100%-100%), and 99.4% NPV (157 of 158; 95% CI, 97.9%-100%).
  • On a per-patient surveillance basis, sensitivity was 94.4% (17 of 18; 95% CI, 72.7%-99.9%), specificity was 100% (89 of 89; 95% CI, 95.9%-100%), PPV was 100% (17 of 17; 95% CI, 80.5%-100%), and NPV was 98.9% (89 of 90; 95% CI, 93.0%-99.8%).

Cite This Study

Sicard et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a9bd4726b95aff0620ec2c8https://doi.org/10.1001/jamaoto.2026.2469
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