Interrupted time-series analysis reveals vehicle-mounted automated loading increases delivery throughput by roughly 15% in cold-chain logistics, indicating rapid economic break-even.
Last-mile delivery is constrained by manual cargo handling, which consumes a large share of the operating window and limits the number of delivery rounds per shift. This study evaluates the operational and economic effects of the Automated Horizontal Loading and Unloading System (AHLUS), a retrofittable in-vehicle technology that converts the cargo bed into an active handling platform using a belt conveyor and a movable bulkhead. Using daily records from two AHLUS-equipped one-ton trucks operated in a South Korean fresh-food network over four months, an interrupted time-series regression with Newey-West standard errors estimated the effect of the deployment process—encompassing driver adaptation and the dispatch reallocation enabled by the system’s enhanced handling capacity—while controlling for the pre-intervention trend. After stabilization, daily throughput was approximately 19.8 percent higher than the learning-phase baseline (approximately 14.8 percent relative to the model-implied counterfactual trend), a gain that was statistically significant, held for both drivers, and corresponded to an increase from two to three delivery rounds per shift. A transparent total cost of ownership model incorporating payload-loss, power, maintenance, and downtime yielded a base-case break-even point of 4.1 months, and a Monte Carlo simulation indicated a positive net benefit across all sampled parameter combinations under the assumed input distributions, with a median break-even point of 4.6 months. As an exploratory single-company field validation without an untreated control series, the study estimates the effect of the deployment as implemented in practice rather than the isolated effect of the hardware. The findings provide field-based evidence that in-vehicle handling automation can deliver measurable throughput and economic benefits in last-mile operations, pending confirmation in larger multi-company and multi-region deployments.
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Hong et al. (2026) studied this question.
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