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September 5, 2026BuildingsOpen Access

A CEEMDAN–SVR–PSO-LSTM Hybrid Model for Construction-Induced Displacement Prediction of Metro Deep Excavations

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Authors

YLYanwei LiuTZTianjun ZhangWZWeiqin Zuo

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Overview

Predictive modeling study demonstrates accurate retaining-pile displacement forecasting in metro excavations, indicating enhanced deformation control for deep underground construction.

Key Points

  • To develop a hybrid machine learning framework combining CEEMDAN, SVR, and PSO-LSTM for predicting nonstationary retaining-pile displacement during staged deep excavation construction.
  • Decomposed displacement monitoring series into a low-frequency residual trend and oscillatory intrinsic mode functions using CEEMDAN.
  • Predicted the trend component using support vector regression and fluctuation components using particle swarm optimization-tuned long short-term memory networks.
  • Validated performance using multi-depth monitoring data across six construction stages from two metro excavation projects.
  • Achieved average R2 of approximately 0.94, RMSE of 0.33 mm, and MAPE of 2.8% in Case 1, outperforming BP, EMD-LSTM, and VMD-GRU baselines.
  • Maintained millimeter-level prediction errors across 90 depth-wise monitoring points over six construction stages during external validation in Case 2.
  • Identified the late construction stages and upper pile segments as critical zones requiring the highest degree of deformation monitoring.

Cite This Study

Liu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a9bd49d6b95aff0620ec6cfhttps://doi.org/10.3390/buildings16173510
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