Key result
Including early do-not-resuscitate status in risk-adjustment models for acute myocardial infarction improved the mortality model C statistic from 0.754 to 0.784 and reclassified 24% of high outliers.
Why the study?
Administrative-based hospital quality measures may fail to account for early do-not-resuscitate orders, which reflect preadmission illness burden, care preferences, and vary widely across hospitals.
Does including early DNR status in risk-adjustment models improve the assessment of hospital risk-standardized mortality and readmission rates in patients with acute myocardial infarction?
Observational (n=109,521)
Yes
Does including early DNR status in risk-adjustment models improve the assessment of hospital risk-standardized mortality and readmission rates in patients with acute myocardial infarction?
Effect estimate: C statistic 0.784 (95% CI 0.779-0.789)
Accounting for early DNR status at admission significantly improves risk-adjustment models for AMI mortality and alters hospital performance rankings, suggesting it should be included in quality reporting.
Background Important administrative-based measures of hospital quality, including those used by Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, may not adequately account for patient illness and social factors that vary between hospitals and can strongly affect outcomes. Do-not-resuscitate (DNR) order on admission (within the first 24 hours) is one such factor that may reflect higher preadmission illness burden as well as patients' desire for less-intense therapeutic interventions and has been shown to vary widely between hospitals. We sought to evaluate how accounting for early DNR affected hospital quality measures for acute myocardial infarction. Methods AND RESULTS We identified all patients admitted with acute myocardial infarction using the California State Inpatient Database, which captures early DNR use within 24 hours of admission. We generated hospital risk-standardized mortality and readmissions using random-effects logistic regression, before and after including early DNR status, to examine changes in overall model fit and hospital outlier designations. We included 109 521 patients from 289 hospitals and found that 8.5% (9356) patients had early DNR. Early DNR use varied widely, with median (interquartile range) hospital rates of 7.9% (4.1%-14.0%). Including early DNR in models used to assess hospital quality resulted in improvement in the mortality model (C statistics from 0.754 [0.748-0.759] to 0.784 [0.779-0.789]) but not the readmissions model. Of the hospitals designated high outliers for mortality and readmissions by the Centers for Medicare/Medicaid Services model, and therefore destined for a financial penalty, 6/25 (24%) were reclassified as nonoutliers for mortality and 2/14 (14.3%) for readmissions after including DNR status. Agreement in outlier status between the models before and after inclusion of early DNR status was moderate for mortality (κ, 0.603 [0.482-0.724]; P<0.001) and high for readmissions (κ, 0.888 [0.800-0.977]; P<0.001). Conclusions Including early DNR status in risk-adjustment models significantly improved model fit and resulted in substantial reclassification of hospital performance rankings for mortality and moderate reclassification for readmissions. DNR status at hospital admission should be considered when reporting risk-standardized hospital mortality.
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Bruckel et al. (2019) conducted an observational in acute myocardial infarction (n=109,521). Early do-not-resuscitate (DNR) status vs. Models without early DNR status was evaluated on Hospital risk-standardized mortality model fit (C statistic 0.784, 95% CI 0.779-0.789). Including early do-not-resuscitate status in risk-adjustment models for acute myocardial infarction improved the mortality model C statistic from 0.754 to 0.784 and reclassified 24% of high outliers.
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