Numerical modeling study reveals how anisotropic in situ stress drives directional fracture propagation in deep shale reservoirs, suggesting tailored stimulation designs improve gas recovery.
Deep shale gas reservoirs are subjected to anisotropic in situ stresses that break the directional symmetry of hydraulic-fracture growth, promote propagation along the maximum horizontal principal stress, and suppress transverse spreading. This study investigates geomechanical and injection controls on fracture-network evolution in the Yi214 block of the Changning shale gas field using a field-calibrated numerical workflow. The model was calibrated against pre-design microseismic-derived metrics from Well Yi202, with relative differences of 1.8% for fracture length and 3.9% for effective fracture volume; this comparison is treated as calibration rather than independent multi-well validation. A dimensionless directionalization index, Id = (L/L0)/(V/V0), is defined relative to the equal-horizontal-stress case (Δσh = 0) as a global proxy for the concentration of longitudinal extension relative to volumetric spreading. One-factor-at-a-time screening evaluated Young’s modulus, Poisson’s ratio, horizontal stress difference, injection rate, fluid-volume intensity, and proppant loading, while final parameter combinations were treated as well-specific engineering design selections rather than mathematical global optima. As Δσh increased from 0 to 15 MPa, fracture volume decreased by approximately 44% and average fracture length increased by approximately 12%, raising Id from 1.00 to 1.99; the increase in Id was driven predominantly by reduced volume retention rather than length growth alone. The final combined design cases increased simulated fracture volume by 18–27%, while the reported model-based EUR forecasts increased by 36–40%. The results provide a symmetry-based interpretation of stress-controlled fracture directionalization and a field-calibrated basis for well-specific stimulation design in deep shale reservoirs.
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Yuan et al. (2026) studied this question.
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