LAB #1936 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 7 — improves win rate from 31.9% to 50.0% (+18.1pp, — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 7 — improves win rate from 31.9% to 50.0% (+18.1pp, n=8) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying a minimum-confirmation filter of 7 would have excluded the three rizzy5m SHORT entries on XAUUSD (both losses) and EURJPY (one win), plus the AUDUSD SHORT loss — that's 4 trades removed, 3 losses and 1 win. The remaining 4 trades (EURJPY LONG win, GBPUSD LONG win, GBPUSD LONG win, EURUSD SHORT open) would shift the window win rate from 4/8 (50%) to 3/4 (75%) if the open EURUSD closes as a win, or 2/4 (50%) if it closes as a loss. Net PnL delta is positive but small in absolute terms because the removed losses are roughly offset by removing one win; the bigger effect is variance reduction, not raw return. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, a 7-confirmation filter will likely cut trade frequency by 30–50% (based on the 8-trade window, 4 would be dropped). Win rate may improve from ~32% to ~50 Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com