LAB #4008 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 7 — improves win rate from 32.5% to 50.0% (+17.5pp, — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 7 — improves win rate from 32.5% to 50.0% (+17.5pp, n=24) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying a minimum of 7 confirmations would have filtered out the two rizzy5m LOSS trades (NZDUSD and XAUUSD) and likely the EURJPY LONG loss (rizzy7m), while keeping the GBPUSD WIN and EURUSD WIN. That removes 3 losses and 0 wins from the 10-trade window, flipping the live record from 2W/5L (plus 3 open/rejected) to 2W/2L — a raw win-rate jump from ~29% to 50%. PnL delta is positive but modest: you avoid roughly 3R of losses, but you also lose the occasional high-conviction winner that had fewer confirmations, so net expectancy gain is roughly +0.5R to +1.0R over this window. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, this filter will likely raise win rate by 10–15pp but at the cost of cutting trade frequency by 30–50%, since high-conviction setups with 7+ confirmations are rare. The risk is overfitting t Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com