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This article uses the expected utility model to study the logic and dynamism of China's economic reform. Framed as an endogenous policy phenomenon, the reform implies some hypotheses for testing. The model successfully explains the progression of the reform from the agricultural to the industrial dimension. It accurately identifies the median provinces in the two stages of the reform, thus providing important insights into the rationale and logic of initiating and continuing a reform which has significant political and economic consequences. Through examining the median provinces, particularly, Liaoning Province, we have gained a substantial grasp of how far and how fast the China reform will go in its next phase.
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Yi Feng (1997) studied this question.
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