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September 10, 2026Studies in Economics and Finance

“Greeninflation”: evidence on the channels of transition

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Authors

NANicholas ApergisAAAhmet Aysan

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Overview

Econometric analysis reveals that green credit and fiscal spending significantly drive inflation in the United States, indicating financial mechanisms dominate green transition price pressures.

Key Points

  • To investigate the macroeconomic and banking transmission channels through which the green transition influences overall and core inflation in the United States.
  • Analyzed United States macroeconomic and financial time-series data spanning 1990 to 2023.
  • Employed two-stage least squares (2SLS) regressions alongside causality tests across the full sample and sub-periods to evaluate structural shifts.
  • Confirmed that both green fiscal spending on renewables and green credit significantly influence overall and core inflation rates.
  • Identified the green credit channel as exerting the strongest impact on inflation, followed by the fiscal spending mechanism.

Cite This Study

Apergis et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aa27ab158559d80afc736e1https://doi.org/10.1108/sef-03-2026-0303
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