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April 1, 1996American Heart Journal451 citationsOpen Access

Secular trends in the prevalence of atrial fibrillation: The Framingham study

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PWPhilip A. WolfEBEmelia J. BenhaminABAlbert J. Belanger

Key Result

The age-adjusted prevalence of atrial fibrillation in men with prior myocardial infarction increased significantly from 4.9% to 17.4% between 1968 and 1989 (p=0.001).

Study Design

Type

Cohort

Structured PICO

P
Population
Framingham Study cohort participants aged 65 to 84 years evaluated for secular trends in atrial fibrillation prevalence from 1968 to 1989.
O
Outcome
Prevalence of atrial fibrillation from 1968 to 1989

The prevalence of atrial fibrillation increased significantly in older men from 1968 to 1989, particularly those with prior MI, highlighting a growing public health concern for future stroke incidence.

Main Result

Absolute Event Rate: 17.4% vs 4.9%

p-value: p=0.001

Abstract

Abstract An increasing prevalence of AF recently noted in hospital discharge data has not been verified in a population-based sample. We determined the prevalence of AF from 1968 to 1989 in the Framingham Study cohort aged 65 to 84 years. AF prevalence was evaluated by sex and in the presence of VHD, prior MI, and CHF. AF prevalence increased significantly in men overall, but not in women, and in men with and without VHD and MI, but not CHF. In men with prior MI, age-adjusted prevalence rose from 4.9% to 17.4% ( p = 0.001). Multivariate analysis confirmed the increase in AF prevalence in men, when age, valve disease, and prior MI are taken into account. The basis for the increased AF prevalence in men is unexplained but may relate to recent improved MI survival. In an aging U.S. population this trend raises the concern of future increases in stroke incidence.

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Cite This Study

Wolf et al. (1996) conducted a cohort in Atrial fibrillation. Secular trends (1968 to 1989) vs. Earlier time period was evaluated on Prevalence of atrial fibrillation (p=0.001). The age-adjusted prevalence of atrial fibrillation in men with prior myocardial infarction increased significantly from 4.9% to 17.4% between 1968 and 1989 (p=0.001).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aa2c905f92980b6ef323a74https://doi.org/10.1016/s0002-8703(96)90288-4
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