Key result
Stochastic modeling shows the relative age effect reverses at elite levels as maturation advantages dissipate.
Why the study?
To describe the processes related to the relative age effect in sports and help explain its existence and reversal.
This paper develops a stochastic selection model to explain the existence and reversal of the relative age effect in elite sports.
Natural maturation may underlie relative age effect reversal; leaves open whether selection policies warrant age adjustments in youth sports.
This paper develops a stochastic selection model that describes the processes related to the relative age effect in sports.The model helps to explain why the relative age effect exists.In addition, some distribution theory related to the model allows the quantification and comparison of the expected performance of athletes having early and late birth dates in elite sports.The latter derivation helps to explain the socalled "reversal" of the relative age effect.
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Tim Swartz Borović (2022) studied Relative age effect in sports. Stochastic selection model was evaluated. A stochastic selection model demonstrates that the relative age effect and its apparent reversal at elite levels are natural consequences of maturation advantages dissipating over time.
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