Tourism Demand in Central Africa: The Counter Effect of Terrorism

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The present study aims to assess the effects of internal and cross-border terrorism on international tourism demand in Central Africa over the period 1995 to 2018.The Panel Vector Auto regression model is used to assess the overall effects of this type of conflict on tourist arrivals.The results show that terrorism has a significant but minimal effect on international tourism demandacts as an impediment to tourism demand in the study context.The number of victims of terrorist attacks has a greater effect on the number of current and future foreign tourists the number of terrorist attacks.One direct victim of terrorism results in a 0.045% drop in tourist arrivals, and persists for up to a year.Tourism development strategies in this sub-region must be complemented by continued coordination of anti-terrorism policies.