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September 12, 2026Journal of the American College of Cardiology244 citationsOpen Access

Association Between Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Aortic Stenosis

AYAndrew T. YanMKMaria KohKCKelvin Chan

Key Result

Hypertension (HR 1.71), diabetes (HR 1.49), and dyslipidemia (HR 1.17) were independently associated with an increased risk of incident severe aortic stenosis (all P<0.001).

Key Points

  • To examine the association between traditional cardiovascular risk factors and incident severe aortic stenosis in a large, unselected elderly population.
  • Conducted a population-based observational cohort study using linked healthcare databases of 1.12 million adults aged >65 years without prior cardiovascular or valvular disease, followed for a median of 13 years.
  • Evaluated the association of hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia with incident severe aortic stenosis requiring hospitalization or surgical/transcatheter intervention using cause-specific and Fine-Gray hazard models.
  • Over the 13-year median follow-up, 20,995 individuals developed severe aortic stenosis, with an overall absolute incidence of 144 per 100,000 person-years (169 per 100,000 in men and 127 per 100,000 in women).
  • In cause-specific hazard models, severe aortic stenosis was independently predicted by hypertension (adjusted HR: 1.71; 95% CI: 1.66 to 1.76; p < 0.001), diabetes (adjusted HR: 1.49; 95% CI: 1.44 to 1.54; p < 0.001), and dyslipidemia (adjusted HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.14 to 1.21; p < 0.001).
  • Risk demonstrated a positive dose-response relationship with the number and duration of risk factors, and together they accounted for a population-attributable risk of 34.4% (95% CI: 32.8% to 36.0%).

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=1,120,000)

PICO

P
Population
1,120,000 adults >65 years without prior cardiovascular or valvular disease, followed for a median of 13 years.
E
Exposure / Comparator
Hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia vs Absence of risk factors
O
Primary Outcome
Incident severe aortic stenosis requiring hospitalization or surgical or interventional treatment — HR 1.71 (1.66-1.76), p=< 0.001

Main Result

Hazard Ratio: 1.71 (95% CI 1.66–1.76)

p-value: p=< 0.001

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Few longitudinal studies have delineated the association between traditional cardiovascular risk factors and development of aortic stenosis (AS). OBJECTIVES: The authors examined the association between traditional cardiovascular risk factors and incident severe AS in a large, unselected elderly population. METHODS: This observational cohort study used multiple linked health care population-based databases of individuals older than 65 years on April 1, 2002, without prior valvular disease, coronary artery disease, heart failure, cardiac arrhythmia, cerebrovascular disease, congenital heart disease, or admissions with cardiac symptoms. The relationship between hypertension (HTN), diabetes, dyslipidemia, and incident severe AS requiring hospitalization or surgical or interventional treatment was examined. RESULTS: Among 1.12 million individuals followed for a median of 13 years, 20,995 subjects developed severe AS. Overall absolute incidence was 144 per 100,000 person-years (169 and 127 per 100,000 person-years in men and women, respectively). In cause-specific hazard models, HTN (adjusted hazard ratio HR: 1.71; 95% confidence interval CI: 1.66 to 1.76), diabetes (HR: 1.49; 95% CI: 1.44 to 1.54), and dyslipidemia (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.14 to 1.21) were all significantly associated with increased risk of developing severe AS (all p < 0.001). There was a positive dose-response relationship between the number and duration of cardiac risk factors and risk of AS. In the Fine-Gray model, all 3 risk factors were independently associated with a higher incidence of AS. The population-attributable risk of AS associated with 3 cardiac risk factors was 34.4% (95% CI: 32.8 to 36.0). CONCLUSIONS: HTN, diabetes, and dyslipidemia have independent and dose-response associations with incident AS in an unselected population of older individuals, and together accounted for approximately one-third of the incidence of severe AS.

Expert Takes1 quote

“Epidemiologic studies have pointed to several factors (eg, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia) associated with the development of aortic stenosis (AS), but the risk attributable to these factors is relatively low.”

Brian R. Lindman, Cardiovascular medicine specialist, Vanderbilt Universityauto_pipelineCautiousView source
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Cite This Study

Yan et al. (2017) conducted a cohort in Aortic stenosis (n=1,120,000). Hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia vs. Absence of risk factors was evaluated on Incident severe aortic stenosis requiring hospitalization or surgical or interventional treatment (HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.66-1.76, p=< 0.001). Hypertension (HR 1.71), diabetes (HR 1.49), and dyslipidemia (HR 1.17) were independently associated with an increased risk of incident severe aortic stenosis (all P<0.001).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aa56d5520e5356c66b27d72https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2017.01.025
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