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July 15, 1999New England Journal of Medicine1,286 citationsOpen Access

Association of Aortic-Valve Sclerosis with Cardiovascular Mortality and Morbidity in the Elderly

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COCatherine M OttoBLBonnie K. LindDKDalane W. Kitzman

Key Result

Aortic-valve sclerosis was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular death compared to normal valves (RR 1.52; 95% CI 1.12-2.05) after adjustment for clinical factors.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=5,621)

Structured PICO

Does aortic-valve sclerosis increase the risk of cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in adults aged 65 years or older?

P
Population
5,621 men and women aged 65 years or older enrolled in a population-based prospective study
I
Intervention
Aortic-valve sclerosis without outflow obstruction (exposure)
C
Comparator
Normal aortic valve on echocardiography
O
Outcome
Death from any cause and death from cardiovascular causes at mean 5.0 years follow-uphard clinical

Aortic sclerosis in the elderly is associated with an approximately 50% increased risk of cardiovascular death and myocardial infarction, independent of hemodynamically significant outflow obstruction.

Main Result

Effect estimate: RR 1.52 (95% CI 1.12-2.05)

Absolute Event Rate: 10.1% vs 6.1%

p-value: p=<0.001 for trend

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Although aortic-valve stenosis is clearly associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes, it is unclear whether valve sclerosis increases the risk of cardiovascular events. METHODS: We assessed echocardiograms obtained at base line from 5621 men and women 65 years of age or older who were enrolled in a population-based prospective study. On echocardiography, the aortic valve was normal in 70 percent (3919 subjects), sclerotic without outflow obstruction in 29 percent (1610), and stenotic in 2 percent (92). The subjects were followed for a mean of 5.0 years to assess the risk of death from any cause and of death from cardiovascular causes. Cardiovascular morbidity was defined as new episodes of myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, congestive heart failure, or stroke. RESULTS: There was a stepwise increase in deaths from any cause (P for trend, <0.001) and deaths from cardiovascular causes (P for trend, <0.001) with increasing aortic-valve abnormality; the respective rates were 14.9 and 6.1 percent in the group with normal aortic valves, 21.9 and 10.1 percent in the group with aortic sclerosis, and 41.3 and 19.6 percent in the group with aortic stenosis. The relative risk of death from cardiovascular causes among subjects without coronary heart disease at base line was 1.66 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.23 to 2.23) for those with sclerotic valves as compared with those with normal valves, after adjustment for age and sex. The relative risk remained elevated after further adjustment for clinical factors associated with sclerosis (relative risk, 1.52; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.12 to 2.05). The relative risk of myocardial infarction was 1.40 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.07 to 1.83) among subjects with aortic sclerosis, as compared with those with normal aortic valves. CONCLUSIONS: Aortic sclerosis is common in the elderly and is associated with an increase of approximately 50 percent in the risk of death from cardiovascular causes and the risk of myocardial infarction, even in the absence of hemodynamically significant obstruction of left ventricular outflow.

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Cite This Study

Otto et al. (1999) conducted a cohort in Aortic-valve sclerosis (n=5,621). Aortic-valve sclerosis vs. Normal aortic valve was evaluated on death from cardiovascular causes (RR 1.52, 95% CI 1.12-2.05, p=<0.001 for trend). Aortic-valve sclerosis was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular death compared to normal valves (RR 1.52; 95% CI 1.12-2.05) after adjustment for clinical factors.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0d6ca4cae7912d2fa4fddfhttps://doi.org/10.1056/nejm199907153410302
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