Cohort study reveals high rates of cirrhosis and liver cancer at low APRI thresholds in chronic hepatitis B patients, highlighting the need for earlier antiviral initiation.
Despite having the highest Hepatitis B Virus (HBV)-related mortality globally, sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has been slow in its disease elimination campaign. We describe a 5-year experience in HBV management at a large facility in Uganda and how it can inform future management strategies. HBV-related patient data were abstracted from clinic records. Of 2664 patients, 1828 (68.6 %) had documented chronic HBV infection. Participants were young, mean age (±SD) 31.3 (±10.6) and equally split by gender. Overall, 423 (23.1 %) were on antiviral medications including 158/229 (69.0 %) with a sonographic diagnosis of cirrhosis and 130/282 (46.1 %) with Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) score ≥0.5.48/1828 (2.6 %) had Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC). In multivariable analysis, APRI score ≥0.5 [OR (95 % CI) = 1.76 (1.26-2.46), p < 0.01], elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) [OR (95 % CI) = 2.25 (1.35-4.47), p = 0.04], and HBV viral load ≥2,000IU/mL [OR (95 % CI) = 2.97 (1.68-5.22), p < 0.01] were predictors of cirrhosis/HCC. Also, an APRI score of ≥0.5 [OR (95 % CI) = 1.62 (1.19-2.22), p = 0.01], elevated ALT [OR (95 % CI) = 2.60 (1.23-5.49), p = 0.02], cirrhosis [OR (95 % CI) = 21.65 (9.26-50.59), p < 0.01], and viral load ≥2,000IU/mL [OR (95 % CI) = 6.62 (3.93-11.15), p < 0.01] were associated with antiviral use. Cirrhosis/HCC apparently occur at lower APRI scores in SSA suggesting need for urgent adoption of the 2024 WHO guidelines which provide for earlier initiation of anti-HBV therapy.
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Seremba et al. (2025) studied this question.
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