Quasi-experimental analysis reveals significant employment cuts among financially constrained firms following minimum wage increases, highlighting corporate debt as a key labor policy mediator.
We examine how corporate financial constraints shape firms’ employment responses to minimum wage policies. Exploiting the federal minimum wage increase during the financial crisis and variation in firms’ debt maturity structures at the crisis onset, we find that financially constrained firms significantly reduce employment. To assess external validity, we analyze staggered state-level minimum wage increases over time. Consistent with the crisis evidence, employment declines in establishments of constrained firms, whereas unconstrained firms expand in areas with a larger supply of minimum-wage workers and higher turnover. Our results highlight the central role of financial constraints in mediating labor policy effects.
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Bilokha et al. (2026) studied this question.
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