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Integrated assessment reveals air conditioning mitigates heat risks but worsens emissions and grid strain, highlighting the need for passive design and equitable cooling policies.
Rising global temperatures and the increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves have significantly amplified the need for effective thermal adaptation strategies. Air conditioning (AC) has emerged as the dominant technological solution to mitigate heat exposure, offering substantial benefits in terms of thermal comfort, health protection, and productivity. This paper provides a comprehensive and integrated assessment of the multifaceted impacts of air conditioning, encompassing energy, environmental, health, economic, social, and cultural dimensions. The analysis highlights that AC plays a critical role in reducing heat-related mortality and morbidity, improving cognitive performance, and sustaining economic productivity under high-temperature conditions. However, these benefits are accompanied by considerable challenges. The rapid growth of AC deployment drives substantial increases in electricity demand, particularly during peak periods, placing significant strain on power systems and contributing to grid instability and blackouts. Additionally, AC use exacerbates climate change through increased greenhouse gas emissions, waste heat release that intensifies urban heat islands, and environmental impacts associated with refrigerants, material extraction, and lifecycle processes. The paper also emphasizes profound inequalities in access to cooling, with low-income and vulnerable populations facing limited availability or affordability of air conditioning, leading to heightened exposure to thermal risks. Even where AC is available, economic constraints often restrict its use, resulting in insufficient protection during extreme heat events. Beyond technical and economic considerations, the widespread adoption of air conditioning has reshaped cultural norms, architectural practices, and human adaptive behaviour, fostering increased dependence on mechanically controlled indoor environments. The findings demonstrate that while air conditioning is an essential component of climate adaptation, it is insufficient as a standalone solution and may create reinforcing feedbacks that intensify energy demand and environmental stress. The study concludes that a transition toward integrated and sustainable cooling strategies is necessary, combining energy-efficient technologies, passive design measures, urban climate mitigation, and equitable policy frameworks. Such an approach is crucial to ensure resilient, low-carbon, and socially inclusive responses to rising thermal risks in a warming climate.
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Santamouris et al. (2026) studied this question.
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