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September 14, 2026Discover EnvironmentOpen Access

Projected intensification of precipitation characteristics and meteorological drought and wetness conditions in Accra Ghana

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Authors

JQJohnson QuaqueYSYongwon Seo

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Overview

Climate modeling study reveals persistent cycles of meteorological drought and intensifying rainfall extremes in coastal West Africa, highlighting critical challenges for urban drainage design.

Key Points

  • To assess historical and future precipitation characteristics, meteorological drought, and wetness conditions under two greenhouse gas emission pathways.
  • Evaluated historical simulation performance of the Korea Meteorological Administration Advanced Community Earth System (KACE) model against observed precipitation data from 1982 to 2014.
  • Projected climate shifts across near-future (2015–2040), mid-future (2041–2070), and far-future (2071–2100) periods under SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios.
  • Quantified drought and moisture dynamics using the Standardized Precipitation Index alongside ETCCDI extreme indices, including CDD, CWD, Rx1day, Rx5day, and SDII.
  • The KACE model effectively replicates historical precipitation trends, despite existing discrepancies in the magnitude of extreme events.
  • Projections reveal persistent swings between meteorological drought and wetness with greater recurrence and duration at longer timescales, rather than a uniform directional shift.
  • Rainfall intensity indices and maximum precipitation metrics strengthen substantially toward the late 21st century under the high-emission SSP5-8.5 scenario.

Cite This Study

Quaque et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aa7b3580926e14a848b228fhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s44274-026-01038-y
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