Model evaluation study demonstrates 99.54% crop recommendation accuracy using IoT sensing and machine learning, highlighting scalable tools for climate-resilient agriculture.
Introduction Rapid climate change, soil degradation, and changing environmental conditions make crop selection difficult for farmers. This study proposes an IoT- and AI-based framework to recommend suitable crops using current soil conditions and future weather forecasts. It also identifies the key environmental factors influencing crop selection. Methods A three-layer architecture was designed with data collection, communication, and data processing modules. Real-time data on nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium, pH, temperature, and humidity were collected through IoT sensors and combined with rainfall and historical agricultural data. A dataset containing multiple environmental features and 22 crop classes was used for model development. Machine learning and deep learning methods, including Random Forest, XGBoost, K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Decision Trees (DT), Deep Neural Networks (DNN), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), were applied for classification and forecasting. Performance was evaluated using accuracy, F1-Score, MAE, RMSE, and R 2 . Pareto analysis was also performed to identify the most influential parameters. Results Random Forest and CNN achieved the highest classification accuracy of 99.54% with an F1-Score of 0.995, while XGBoost also performed strongly with 99.32% accuracy. Regression analysis showed that ensemble models outperformed linear models. Pareto analysis revealed that rainfall, humidity, and potassium were the most influential factors in crop recommendation. In a real-time case study, the framework recommended rice as the most suitable crop for the given input conditions. Discussion The results show that integrating IoT sensing with AI-based forecasting supports proactive crop planning before sowing and improves sustainable farming decisions under changing climate conditions. Conclusion The proposed framework effectively combines real-time monitoring, predictive analytics, and intelligent crop recommendation, offering a practical foundation for scalable precision agriculture systems.
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Sriram et al. (2026) studied this question.
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