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September 14, 2026Theoretical and Applied GeneticsOpen Access

From family trials to genomic mate allocation: statistical and genomic strategies to accelerate sugarcane genetic improvement

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Authors

ARAndrew RigbyThe University of QueenslandFAFelicity AtkinBHBen J. HayesNew Jersey Department of Environmental Protection

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Overview

Review outlines genomic prediction and mate allocation strategies in sugarcane breeding, highlighting integrated mixed models to accelerate genetic gain across complex polyploid genomes.

Key Points

  • To review the biological, statistical, and genomic challenges constraining sugarcane improvement and propose an integrated genomic prediction framework for early-stage selection and cross allocation.
  • Examined multi-stage sugarcane selection schemes, focusing on progeny, clonal, and final assessment trials in the Australian breeding system.
  • Evaluated statistical hurdles, including family plot means, spatial heterogeneity, genotype-by-environment interactions, non-additive variation, and allele-dosage estimation in polyploid and aneuploid genomes.
  • Synthesized methods for genomic prediction of cross performance, constrained mate allocation algorithms, and stage-integrated mixed models.
  • Identified that genomic selection is currently underutilized at critical early decision stages, including family selection and parent crossing, due to complex polyploid genetics and trial design limitations.
  • Demonstrated that combining genomic cross-performance predictions with constrained mate allocation accounts for non-additive effects while controlling inbreeding and coancestry.
  • Proposed a decision-centered, single-step mixed-model framework that connects early progeny testing with clonal assessment to optimize parent recycling and selection accuracy.

Cite This Study

Rigby et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aa7b3d00926e14a848b30e7https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-026-05373-9
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