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September 14, 2026Journal of Economic Behavior & OrganizationOpen Access

Who is concerned about climate change when forests are burning? Evidence from Swedish forest fires

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Authors

XHXiao HuEmory University

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Implication

Observational study reveals divergent climate concern updates across political leanings following forest fires, indicating that climate disasters widen political polarization.

Key Points

  • To investigate whether experiencing severe climate events bridges or widens political polarization in environmental attitudes and climate policy support.
  • Analyzed public environmental concern and policy preferences before and after the 2018 forest fires in Sweden.
  • Evaluated changes in attitudes relative to local fire intensity, news media exposure, and baseline political orientation (green-left versus conservative-right).
  • Environmental concern increased overall following the fires, with shifts driven by prior political beliefs rather than proximity to local fire intensity.
  • Green-left-leaning individuals showed substantially larger increases in climate concern than conservative-right individuals, consistent with partisan-motivated reasoning.
  • Support for a higher carbon tax did not increase alongside heightened concern, demonstrating a disconnect between disaster-driven worry and policy support.

Cite This Study

Xiao Hu (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aa7b40e0926e14a848b384bhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107756
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