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Theoretical analysis reveals how imagined shareholder expectations distort strategic choices in corporations, highlighting the need to resist short-term targets for genuine value creation.
This paper examines how companies can unintentionally constrain themselves by acting on imagined shareholder expectations. It introduces the concept of the ``shareholder illusion'': the situation in which a company constructs an image of what shareholders supposedly want, turns that image into corporate narratives and internal performance targets, and subsequently shapes organizational behavior around those targets. The paper argues that measurable activities---such as AI adoption, digital transformation, new-business creation, or cost reduction---can become substitutes for genuine long-term value creation when corporate decision-making becomes overly focused on external expectations and short-term evaluation. Particular attention is given to the different time horizons of shareholders. A strategy designed to satisfy short-term market expectations may ultimately weaken the organizational capabilities that support long-term corporate value. The paper therefore distinguishes between respecting shareholders and being constrained by an imagined shareholder narrative, arguing that the ability to deliberately choose what not to do can be an important source of long-term corporate strength.
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Akihito Sugawara (2026) studied this question.
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