What question did this study set out to answer?

To characterize epidemiological trends in lung cancer incidence, mortality, and prevalence from 2006 to 2015 and develop a model projecting these outcomes through 2030.

September 3, 2021BMC CancerOpen Access

Forecasting lung cancer incidence, mortality, and prevalence to year 2030

View Full Paper

Ask AI

Bookmark

Authors

EJErik JakobsenOdense University Hospital KOKaren Ege OlsenUniversity of Health Sciences Antigua MBMette BliddalUniversity of Southern Denmark

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Epidemiological modeling study reveals a doubling of lung cancer prevalence in Denmark through 2030, indicating increasing long-term oncology care demands.

Key Points

To characterize epidemiological trends in lung cancer incidence, mortality, and prevalence from 2006 to 2015 and develop a model projecting these outcomes through 2030.
Analyzed nationwide registry data from 44,291 Danish patients alive on January 1, 2006, or diagnosed with primary lung cancer between 2006 and 2015.
Extracted stage, morphology, comorbidity, and survival data from national registries and applied NORDCAN-based projection modeling to forecast annual incidence, deaths, and prevalence through 2030.
Observed a clinical shift toward adenocarcinoma and earlier disease stages at diagnosis, accompanied by rising incidence, significantly decreased patient mortality, and a doubling of prevalence between 2006 and 2015.
Projected that total prevalent lung cancer cases will rise from approximately 10,000 at the end of 2015 to roughly 23,000 by 2030 as mortality continues to decline and incidence stabilizes.

Cite This Study

Jakobsen et al. (2021) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aa91898f153b06b0dd91f69 https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-021-08696-6

View Full Paper

Ask AI

Bookmark

September 3, 2021BMC CancerOpen Access

Forecasting lung cancer incidence, mortality, and prevalence to year 2030

View Full Paper

Ask AI

Bookmark

Authors

EJErik JakobsenOdense University Hospital KOKaren Ege OlsenUniversity of Health Sciences Antigua MBMette BliddalUniversity of Southern Denmark

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Epidemiological modeling study reveals a doubling of lung cancer prevalence in Denmark through 2030, indicating increasing long-term oncology care demands.

Key Points

To characterize epidemiological trends in lung cancer incidence, mortality, and prevalence from 2006 to 2015 and develop a model projecting these outcomes through 2030.
Analyzed nationwide registry data from 44,291 Danish patients alive on January 1, 2006, or diagnosed with primary lung cancer between 2006 and 2015.
Extracted stage, morphology, comorbidity, and survival data from national registries and applied NORDCAN-based projection modeling to forecast annual incidence, deaths, and prevalence through 2030.
Observed a clinical shift toward adenocarcinoma and earlier disease stages at diagnosis, accompanied by rising incidence, significantly decreased patient mortality, and a doubling of prevalence between 2006 and 2015.
Projected that total prevalent lung cancer cases will rise from approximately 10,000 at the end of 2015 to roughly 23,000 by 2030 as mortality continues to decline and incidence stabilizes.

Cite This Study

Jakobsen et al. (2021) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aa91898f153b06b0dd91f69 https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-021-08696-6

Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

View Full Paper

Ask AI

Bookmark