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September 17, 2026Journal of Marine Science and EngineeringOpen Access

Techno-Economic Analysis of Axial-Flow Current Turbines Applied to the US Virgin Islands

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Authors

JAJonisha AubainUniversity of Massachusetts AmherstEBErin Baker

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Overview

Techno-economic modeling demonstrates cost parity of bridge-supported marine current turbines at ten megawatts in island systems, suggesting viable renewable transition pathways for isolated grids.

Key Points

  • To evaluate the techno-economic feasibility and cost trajectory of a novel shallow-water, bridge-supported marine current turbine system for small island grids.
  • Adapted the National Renewable Energy Laboratory Reference Model 4 technical design and cost framework using economies-of-scale relationships for a bridge-mounted system.
  • Calculated the levelized cost of energy across varied array scales and conducted sensitivity analyses on current velocity correction factors, turbine dimensions, and interest rates.
  • A three-unit installation yields an estimated levelized cost of energy of $1.13/kWh, which decreases to $0.31/kWh when deployed at a 100-unit scale.
  • The bridge-supported marine turbine system becomes economically competitive with the U.S. Virgin Islands baseline electricity tariff of $0.42/kWh at an installed capacity of roughly 10 MW.

Cite This Study

Aubain et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aabb5fd5f706d05830e47a3https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14181723
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