Fuzzy Load Forecast with Optimized Parametric Adjustment Using Jaya Optimization Algorithm

This paper proposes an advanced fuzzy load forecast method optimized by modified Jaya optimization (MJO) algorithm. MATLAB® platform is used to implement the proposed hybrid Fuzzy-MJO load forecasting algorithm and to verify the outperforming features of a Jaya technique over a fuzzy load forecast model. The novel Fuzzy-MJO load forecasting systems uses the day-time and the daily power consumption to efficiently predict the forecast power consumption. The comparative load forecasting results between proposed Fuzzy-MJO with the latest other algorithms are adequately presented. The full week forecast results using proposed hybrid Fuzzy-MJO load forecasting algorithm demonstrates an outperforming superiority, through the various tested cases, regarding to the total and the peak power error in comparison with the fuzzy-based load forecast model.