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This paper analyzes four streams of building products to show that successful innovative building products are those that offer cost, time, and performance advantages through progress along four technological trajectories: location of the work, means of production, materials used, and incorporation of system design principles. Market and production factors that hinder progress along these trajectories are identified. The future success of innovative products can be predicted by evaluating their progress along the four trajectories.
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T. Michael Toole (2001) studied this question.
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