Modular Scheduling Optimization of Multi-Scenario Intelligent Connected Buses Under Reservation-Based Travel

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In the context of big data and intelligent connectivity, optimizing scheduled bus dispatch can enhance urban transit efficiency and passenger experience, which is vital for the sustainable development of urban transportation. This paper, based on existing fixed bus stops, integrates traditional demand-responsive transit and travel booking models, considering the spatiotemporal variations in scheduled travel demands and passenger flows and addressing the combined scheduling issues of fixed-capacity bus models and skip-stop strategies. By leveraging intelligent connected technologies, it introduces a dynamic grouping method, proposes an intelligent connected bus dispatching model, and optimizes bus timetables and dispatch control strategies. Firstly, the inherent travel characteristics of potential reservation users are analyzed based on actual transit data, subsequently extracting demand data from reserved passengers. Secondly, a two-stage optimization program is proposed, detailing passenger boarding and alighting at each stop and section passenger flow conditions. The first stage introduces a precise bus–traveler matching dispatch model within a spatial–temporal–state framework, incorporating ride matching to minimize parking frequency in scheduled travel scenarios. The second stage addresses spatiotemporal variations in passenger demand and station congestion by employing a skip-stop and bus operation control strategy. This strategy enables the creation of an adaptable bus operation optimization model for temporal dynamics and station capacity. Finally, a dual-layer optimization model using an adaptive parameter grid particle swarm optimization algorithm is proposed. Based on Beijing’s Route 300 operational data, the simulation-driven study implements contrasting scenarios of different bus service patterns. The results demonstrate that this networked dispatching system with dynamic vehicle grouping reduces operational costs by 29.7% and decreases passenger waiting time by 44.15% compared to baseline scenarios.