Key result
Lowest in-treatment HDL quartile linked to ~9-fold higher incident diabetes risk versus the highest quartile.
Why the study?
Whether changing HDL cholesterol levels over time are more strongly related to the risk of new diabetes in hypertensive patients than baseline HDL levels was not examined.
Does lower in-treatment HDL cholesterol increase the risk of incident diabetes mellitus in hypertensive patients?
RCT (n=7,485)
randomly assigned
Does lower in-treatment HDL cholesterol increase the risk of incident diabetes mellitus in hypertensive patients?
Lower in-treatment HDL cholesterol is a strong, independent predictor of incident diabetes in hypertensive patients, more so than baseline HDL levels.
AIMS: Although hypertensive patients with low baseline HDL cholesterol levels have a higher incidence of diabetes mellitus, whether changing levels of HDL over time are more strongly related to the risk of new diabetes in hypertensive patients has not been examined. METHODS: Incident diabetes mellitus was examined in relation to baseline and in-treatment HDL levels in 7485 hypertensive patients with no history of diabetes randomly assigned to losartan- or atenolol-based treatment. RESULTS: During 4.7 ± 1.2 years follow-up, 520 patients (6.9%) developed new diabetes. In univariate Cox analyses, compared with the highest quartile of HDL levels (> 1.78 mmol/l), baseline and in-treatment HDL in the lowest quartile (< 1.21 mmol/l) identified patients with > 5-fold and > 9 fold higher risks of new diabetes, respectively; patients with baseline or in-treatment HDL in the 2nd and 3rd quartiles had intermediate risk of diabetes. In multivariable Cox analyses, adjusting for randomized treatment, age, sex, race, prior anti-hypertensive therapy, baseline uric acid, serum creatinine and glucose entered as standard covariates, and in-treatment non-HDL cholesterol, Cornell product left ventricular hypertrophy, diastolic and systolic pressure, BMI, hydrochlorothiazide and statin use as time-varying covariates, the lowest quartile of in-treatment HDL remained associated with a nearly 9-fold increased risk of new diabetes (hazard ratio 8.7, 95% CI 5.0-15.2), whereas the risk of new diabetes was significantly attenuated for baseline HDL < 1.21 mmol/l (hazard ratio 3.9, 95% CI 2.8-5.4). CONCLUSIONS: Lower in-treatment HDL is more strongly associated with increased risk of new diabetes than baseline HDL level.
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Okin et al. (2013) conducted an RCT in Hypertension with no history of diabetes (n=7,485). Lowest quartile of in-treatment HDL (< 1.21 mmol/l) vs. Highest quartile of HDL levels (> 1.78 mmol/l) was evaluated on Incident diabetes mellitus (HR 8.7, 95% CI 5.0-15.2). The lowest quartile of in-treatment HDL (< 1.21 mmol/l) was associated with a nearly 9-fold increased risk of incident diabetes compared to the highest quartile (HR 8.7; 95% CI 5.0-15.2).
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