Key result
Lack of 48-hour SOFA improvement is associated with ~54% hospital mortality in critically ill patients.
Why the study?
Assessment of SOFA score upon ICU admission and its 48-hour trend can identify patients at risk of unfavorable outcomes and guide intervention effectiveness evaluation.
Does admission SOFA score and 48-hour delta SOFA predict mortality in critically ill patients?
Cohort (n=1,101)
No
Does admission SOFA score and 48-hour delta SOFA predict mortality in critically ill patients?
Absolute Event Rate: 53.8% vs 14.9%
p-value: p=<0.001
Admission SOFA score and its 48-hour trajectory are strong predictors of ICU and hospital mortality in critically ill patients.
May support 48-hour SOFA trajectory for mortality risk stratification; extends observational validation but leaves open prospective confirmation.
Background Assessment of SOFA score, determined upon ICU admission, can identify patients at risk of unfavorable outcomes and trigger assessment and application of interventions, of which effectiveness can be evaluated by determining the SOFA score trend after 48 hours. Herein, we evaluated the impact of an admission SOFA score ≥ 2 and the 48-hour delta SOFA on critically ill patient outcomes. Methods This retrospective, observational cohort study included 1101 patients admitted to three ICUs of a tertiary hospital from January 01 to December 31, 2020. SOFA scores- determined upon ICU admission and 48 hours thereafter -denoted three patient groups: those with admission SOFA scores below 2 (n = 348), those with admission SOFA scores ≥ 2 whose 48-hour delta SOFA reflected improvement (SOFA after 48 hours < admission SOFA) (n = 415), and those with admission SOFA scores ≥ 2 that had increased or remained unchanged after 48 hours (SOFA after 48 hours ≥ admission SOFA) (n = 338). Results Group 1 patients were significantly younger and less severely ill and both ICU (3.4%) and hospital (8.6%) mortality were significantly lower than those of Group 2 and 3 patients. Among these, patients in Group 3 were older and had significantly higher mortality, both in the ICU (27.3% versus 10.1%, p < 0.001) and hospital (53.8% versus 14.9%, p < 0.001), compared to Group 2 patients. Conclusion We demonstrated that the admission SOFA score and 48-hour delta SOFA are predictors of prognosis in a nonselective cohort of critically ill patients.
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Vasconcelos et al. (2022) conducted a cohort in Critically ill (n=1,101). Admission SOFA score ≥ 2 without 48-hour improvement vs. Admission SOFA score ≥ 2 with 48-hour improvement was evaluated on Hospital mortality (p=<0.001). Critically ill patients with admission SOFA ≥2 and no 48-hour improvement had significantly higher hospital mortality than those who improved (53.8% vs 14.9%, p<0.001).
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