Key result
Eight repetitions of a serological monitoring programme from 1995 to 2003 demonstrated a 0.006% probability of at least one infected farm, indicating no endemic classical swine fever in Italy.
Observational
Repeated serological monitoring from 1995 to 2003 confirms the absence of endemic classical swine fever infection in continental Italy.
Eight years of negative CSF surveillance bolsters freedom claims in Italy; leaves open validation across other regions and strains.
Summary Surveillance plans were carried out in Italy from 1995 to 2003, with the main aim of controlling the possible circulation of low-virulence classical swine fever viral strains. The repetition of a serological monitoring programme over several years, with constantly negative results, can prove the absence of the infection while increasing the degree of confidence. In our case, in 2003, after eight repetitions of the surveillance plan, the probability that there was at least one infected farm reached 0.006%. Therefore, on the basis of the results of the sampling carried out from 1995 to 2003, we may state that there is no endemic infection, even because of a low virulence virus, in continental Italy.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Feliziani et al. (2005) conducted an observational in Classical Swine Fever. Serological monitoring programme was evaluated on Probability of at least one infected farm. Eight repetitions of a serological monitoring programme from 1995 to 2003 demonstrated a 0.006% probability of at least one infected farm, indicating no endemic classical swine fever in Italy.
Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: