Battery storage can reduce peak demand and capture the energy arbitrage value, but excessive cycling accelerates battery degradation. This study develops a degradation-aware closed-loop economic dispatch framework for battery energy storage systems (BESSs), where the convolutional neural network–long short-term memory (CNN–LSTM) model is employed as a practical load forecasting module to provide day-ahead operational in-formation. The predicted load is integrated with electricity price, peak-limit constraints, first-order cycling-throughput cost, and terminal state-of-charge (SOC) regulation to generate a baseline charging and discharging schedule. During operation, model predictive control (MPC) updates the remaining horizon using measured load and SOC feedback, enabling closed-loop correction under forecast deviations. The framework is evaluated using Australian load and electricity-price data. On the representative peak-load day, MPC improves terminal SOC from about 43% under fixed scheduling to 49% against a 50% target. Over the annual simulation, the proposed strategy achieves an economic improvement of approximately AUD 20.2 million relative to the no-storage case. With the cycling-throughput penalty included, the modeled equivalent full cycles (EFCs) are reduced from 234.4 to 55.9 compared with the same CNN-LSTM + MPC framework without this penalty. These results demonstrate the value of integrating forecast-guided scheduling, feedback correction, and degradation-aware operation for long-term BESS dispatch.
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Zhang et al. (2026) studied this question.
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