Key result
Annual NT-proBNP screening in older diabetic adults proves cost-effective at ~$41,000 per QALY gained.
Why the study?
NT-proBNP testing for early heart failure detection in asymptomatic older adults with diabetes in the USA remains limited despite guideline recommendations.
Does the addition of annual NT-proBNP testing to standard clinical assessment improve cost-effectiveness for early heart failure detection in older adults with type 2 diabetes?
Does the addition of annual NT-proBNP testing to standard clinical assessment improve cost-effectiveness for early heart failure detection in older adults with type 2 diabetes?
Routine annual NT-proBNP testing for subclinical heart failure in asymptomatic older adults with type 2 diabetes is a cost-effective strategy in the US Medicare system.
Supports adoption of annual NT-proBNP testing in older diabetic adults under Medicare; extends prior recommendations but requires prospective validation.
INTRODUCTION: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) testing for early heart failure (HF) detection in asymptomatic older adults with diabetes in the USA remains limited despite guideline recommendations. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of incorporating NT-proBNP testing into routine clinical assessments for adults aged ≥65 years from a Medicare perspective. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A five-state Markov model with an embedded decision tree compared NT-proBNP testing plus standard clinical assessments with standard assessments alone in adults aged ≥65 years with type 2 diabetes, with or without other HF risk factors. Model inputs (ie, baseline event rates, treatment effects, utilities, and costs) were derived from published literature and publicly available Medicare data. Outcomes, including direct medical costs (ie, diagnostic testing, cardioprotective treatments, HF-related hospitalization, and chronic/advanced HF treatment), life-years (LYs), and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), were calculated over a lifetime horizon. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were performed. RESULTS: Compared with standard clinical assessment alone, NT-proBNP testing prolonged survival (6.27 vs 4.99 LYs) and improved quality of life (3.45 vs 2.84 QALYs). Although lifetime HF hospitalizations were similar (0.43 vs 0.43), LY-adjusted hospitalizations were lower with NT-proBNP testing (0.29 vs 0.43). Lifetime costs were higher with NT-proBNP testing (US$117 010 vs US$92 283), reflecting longer survival and greater use of appropriate cardioprotective treatments. NT-proBNP was cost-effective, with an incremental cost per QALY gained of US$40 883. Results were robust, with the model most sensitive to changes in diabetes management costs, mortality among high-risk individuals, and cardioprotective drug effectiveness. CONCLUSIONS: Annual NT-proBNP testing in older adults with type 2 diabetes is cost-effective for early HF detection in a Medicare setting, supporting broader adoption of guideline-recommended testing in this high-risk population.
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Januzzi et al. (2026) studied Type 2 diabetes without clinical signs or symptoms of heart failure. NT-proBNP testing plus standard clinical assessment vs. Standard clinical assessment alone was evaluated on Incremental cost per QALY gained (ICER) (ICER US$40,883). Annual NT-proBNP testing in older adults with type 2 diabetes was cost-effective for early heart failure detection, with an incremental cost of US$40,883 per quality-adjusted life-year gained.
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