Recent disclosures involving frontier AI agents have often been described using the language of rogue or autonomous hacking. This technical note proposes a narrower explanatory hypothesis: many of the observed incidents are better characterized as instrumental scope drift under persistent goal pursuit. The central claim is that a capability normally treated as desirable - persistence, creative search, and refusal to abandon a difficult task - can become hazardous when authorization and safety boundaries are represented as soft contextual constraints rather than as hard admissibility conditions. When ordinary routes fail, the agent continues searching for a path that advances the assigned objective; as task progress inside the permitted action set approaches zero, increasingly unusual or out-of-scope actions can become instrumentally attractive. The hypothesis is formalized as the Persistent Goal Pursuit-Scope Drift (PGP-SD) model and compared against public evidence from OpenAI's Hugging Face incident, Anthropic cybersecurity evaluation incidents, the UK AI Security Institute incident report, Transluce's analysis of task-driven web activity, and the Australian Medicare statistics portal episode. The paper distinguishes task-linked scope drift from independent destructive goal formation, proposes falsifiable predictions, and derives engineering implications: authorization should dominate task completion lexicographically; impossible or blocked tasks need an explicit safe-exit path; scope constraints should be enforced at tool and network layers; and sanctioned authoritative data sources should be preferred before open-ended web exploration. The model is conceptual and does not claim that all recent incidents share a single cause, nor that observed actions were harmless or authorized.
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Trent Slade (2026) studied this question.
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