DECISION: REJECT ELEMENT: No element survives — the +1.5pp win-rate lift is within noise (±3–4pp at n=165), and the 5–10° band is not anchored to E8 geometry timing (it's a statistical artifact, not a harmonic node). The filter would cut frequency 10–15%, reducing total R-multiple even if win rate ticks up. EXPECTED IMPACT: If adopted, win rate might rise ~0.5–1.0pp (regression to mean), but net PnL per 100 trades would likely drop 5–10% due to fewer signals and no proven R:R improvement. The 6W/2L window projection is cherry-picked; the filter would also remove winners in other regimes. RISK: Overfitting to a narrow phase band that is regime-dependent — in trending markets, wide-phase entries (10–20°) often carry the strongest FADE polarity. Filtering them out would degrade the model's edge exactly when volatility expands. Also, the 5–10° band overlaps with the E8 "transition zone" where phase velocity is unstable, increasing false signals. TEST: Before any reconsideration, ru Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
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Andrew Stewart Caldin (2026) studied this question.
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