Key result
CT-based epicardial adipose tissue radiomics models predict AF with AUCs up to ~0.92.
Why the study?
Epicardial adipose tissue radiomic features have been linked to atrial fibrillation incidence, but evidence consolidation and evaluation of predictive models are needed.
Does CT-based epicardial adipose tissue radiomics predict the incidence and recurrence of atrial fibrillation?
Systematic Review (n=2,952)
Does CT-based epicardial adipose tissue radiomics predict the incidence and recurrence of atrial fibrillation?
Machine learning models using CT-based epicardial adipose tissue radiomics show promise for predicting atrial fibrillation, though methodological heterogeneity currently limits clinical application.
May support CT radiomics for AF prediction; leaves open standardization and external validation before clinical use.
Rationale and Objectives Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia, affecting 1–2% of the general population. Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) may contribute to AF through its proximity to the myocardium and coronary vessels, as well as its vasocrine and paracrine functions. Previous studies linked EAT thickness and volume with AF incidence. This review consolidates evidence on the correlation between radiomic analysis of EAT and the incidence of AF. Material and Methods This systematic review was conducted in accordance with PRISMA 2020 and registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO). Embase, PubMed, MEDLINE, Web of Science, and Google Scholar were searched for primary studies using CT-based EAT radiomics to predict AF. Case reports, animal studies, pediatric populations, and Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI)/ultrasound studies were excluded. Risk of bias was assessed with PROBAST, and methodological quality with the Radiomics Quality Score. Results Ten studies, including 2952 patients (53.8–81.4% male; mean age range 42.2–74.1 years), met eligibility. Six were retrospective, and four were prospective. The studies evaluated postoperative AF, AF recurrence after catheter ablation, AF detection, and AF subtype classification. Reported machine learning models included random forest, logistic regression, Cox regression, and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO). Performance metrics ranged from AUC 0.73–0.92, sensitivity 0.50–0.90 and specificity 0.53–0.98. Segmentation methods and feature extraction varied, and external validation was rare. Conclusion Machine learning models using EAT radiomic features show promise for AF prediction. However, this heterogeneity limits generalizability and precludes immediate incorporation into clinical practice.
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Gladkiy et al. (2026) conducted a systematic review in Atrial Fibrillation (n=2,952). CT-based epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) radiomics was evaluated on Prediction of atrial fibrillation (including postoperative AF, recurrence, detection, and subtype). Machine learning models using CT-based epicardial adipose tissue radiomic features predicted atrial fibrillation with AUCs ranging from 0.73 to 0.92, sensitivity 0.50-0.90, and specificity 0.53-0.98.
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