Key result
Mathematical modeling shows disease eradication is achievable when maintaining the basic reproduction number below 1.
Why the study?
Heart disease remains a leading cause of global mortality, necessitating effective prevention and control strategies that consider lifestyle and genetic risk factors.
Mathematical modeling of heart disease dynamics indicates that sustained primary prevention and lifestyle modifications can theoretically eradicate the disease by keeping the basic reproduction number below 1.
Heart disease remains a leading cause of global mortality, underscoring the urgent need for effective prevention and control strategies. This study analyses a compartmental mathematical model that capture the transmission and prevention dynamics of heart disease, incorporating both lifestyle-related and genetic risk factors. The model consists of six compartments—susceptible, two exposed classes (lifestyle and genetic), infected, treated, and recovered populations. Analytical methods are employed to establish the positivity and boundedness of solutions, determine the disease-free equilibrium (DFE), and compute the basic reproduction number ????0 using the next-generation matrix approach. Global stability of the DFE is proven via LaSalle’s Invariance Principle and an appropriately constructed Lyapunov function. Numerical simulations implemented in R programming validate the theoretical results, demonstrating that when ????0<1, the disease can be eradicated. Findings highlight the pivotal role of primary prevention, lifestyle modification, early detection, and treatment in reducing disease prevalence. This framework offers valuable insights for designing public health interventions and provides a basis for future model extensions incorporating demographic and spatial complexities.
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Agbo et al. (2025) studied Heart disease. Primary prevention, lifestyle modification, early detection, and treatment was evaluated on Basic reproduction number (R0) and global stability of disease-free equilibrium. The mathematical model demonstrates that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when the basic reproduction number (R0) is less than 1, indicating the disease can be eradicated.
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