Trade distortions and investment decisions of private equity funds

We examine how variation in trade distortions across countries and industries is associated with the investment behavior of private equity funds, taking explicit account of their country and industry mandates. We use a sample of 9142 transactions across 60 countries and 52 industries completed by 1623 PE funds during 2010–2020. Overall, we find a negative and statistically significant association between trade policies that restrict imports in a given country-industry combination and the odds of a PE fund investment in that market. This association differs by trade policy instrument. We observe a positive and statistically significant link between tariffs and the likelihood of investment in the affected country-industry combination. In contrast, subsidies to import-competing firms are negatively associated with investment.