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When evaluating an ongoing military conflict, the public has the advantage of observing, at least partially, outcomes of the conflict. Because there are no outcomes to observe, by their nature, potential conflicts add an additional dimension of uncertainty to the evaluation process. This research note examines the effect of risk priming on the evaluation of potential military conflicts. Using an experiment from the 2008 Cooperative Congressional Election Study, we find that priming less risk-tolerant individuals to consider risk lessened their support for a potential military intervention in Darfur, while the prime appeared to increase uncertainty among risk-tolerant individuals.
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Eckles et al. (2011) studied this question.
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