Key result
Novel ECG-biomarker decision tree predicts severe COVID-19 survival with ~86% accuracy.
Why the study?
Electrocardiographic findings and their prognostic value in patients admitted with severe COVID-19 infection were not well characterized.
Case-Control (n=145)
No
Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
May inform prognosis in severe COVID-19; hypothesis-generating and requires prospective validation before clinical use.
Electrocardiographic (ECG) findings in patients admitted with COVID-19 and a decision tree to predict their survival were assessed. 145 consecutive patients with severe COVID-19 infection were selected. Patient demographics, ECG variables, peak troponins, use of standard medications, and clinical outcomes were analyzed using descriptive and inferential statistics, and a predictive model of survival was developed using classification tree analysis. Of the 145 admitted patients, 38 (26%) died. Deceased patients were more likely to have a significantly higher incidence of poor R-Wave progression [6 of 37 (16.2%) Vs. 0 of 104 (0%), p < 0.001] as well as prolonged QTc values [24 of 37 (64.9%) Vs. 38 of 99 (38.4%), p 0.006]. Significant ST segment depressions were found in 5 of 37 (13.5%) of the deceased category compared to 0% in the non-deceased (p < 0.01). Right and/or left atrial enlargement was more prevalent in the deceased cohort [7 of 37 (18.9%) Vs. 4 of 104 (3.8%), p = 0.03]. Bundle branch blocks were more prevalent in the deceased group [9 of 35 (25.8%) Vs. 7 of 104 (6.7%), p 0.002]. Peak troponins were significantly higher in the deceased group (1.0 Vs 0.07 ng/ml, p < 0.001) A prediction tree built utilizing age, PACs, troponins and QTc had an accuracy of 85.5%. 65 of 74 patients (87.8%) were correctly predicted to survive, while 23 of 29 (79.3%) were correctly predicted to become deceased. Among patients hospitalized with Covid-19, the parameters of age, QT interval, troponin and PACs are useful for prognostication and help predict survival with reasonable accuracy.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Singh et al. (2021) conducted a case-control in Severe COVID-19 infection (n=145). Decision tree prediction model (incorporating age, PACs, peak troponin, and QTc) was evaluated on Overall accuracy of the decision tree model to predict survival. Among patients hospitalized with severe COVID-19, a clinical decision tree utilizing age, premature atrial contractions, troponin levels, and QTc interval predicted patient survival with 85.5% accuracy.
Synapse has enriched 10 related papers. Consider them for comparative context: