LAB #3833 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 32.5% to 37.6% (+ — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 32.5% to 37.6% (+5.1pp, n=588) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the phase-distance TIGHT (≤2°) filter over the current live window would have rejected the two most recent rizzy5m shorts (AUDUSD and NZDUSD) — both of which are currently open or closed as losses. It would also have rejected the rizzy7m EURJPY long (loss) and possibly the USDCHF long (loss), depending on their phase distances at entry. Based on the backtest delta (+5.1pp), you'd expect roughly 1–2 of the 10 trades to flip from loss to win, yielding a modest PnL improvement of +0.5R to +1.5R over this window — but the sample is too small to be statistically meaningful. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, a tight phase filter typically reduces trade frequency by 20–40% while improving win rate — your backtest suggests a net positive expectancy if the edge is real. However, the risk is Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com