IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 5 — improves win rate from 32.5% to 34.0% (+1.5pp, n=1799) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying a minimum 5-confirmation filter would have blocked the two rizzy5m entries (AUDUSD SHORT, NZDUSD SHORT) and the rizzy7m EURJPY LONG, all of which entered with fewer confirmations. Of these, the NZDUSD SHORT and EURJPY LONG closed as losses, while the AUDUSD was already rejected — so the filter would have removed two losing trades and one non-trade. The remaining live trades (wkjudas entries) are unaffected, so the immediate PnL delta is positive but small — roughly +2 losses avoided out of 10 trades, which aligns with the +1.5pp win-rate improvement but does not prove statistical significance. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, this filter likely reduces trade frequency by 15–25% while improving win rate modestly, as seen in the backtest. The risk is that it may also filter out early winn Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
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