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BACKGROUNDOn July 1, 2017, Estonia introduced a substantial child allowance for families with three or more children, supplementing regular child benefits.This universal, non-means-tested benefit aimed to alleviate financial burdens for larger families and encourage third and higher-order births. OBJECTIVEWe examine the impact of this reform on the likelihood and timing of third births.We hypothesise that the Estonian child benefit reform had a positive impact, given that the total allowances for a family with three children amounted to 41% of the average salary at the time of implementation.
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Paas et al. (2026) studied this question.
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