LAB #4534 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 31.5% to 35.8% (+ — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 31.5% to 35.8% (+4.3pp, n=631) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the phase-distance TIGHT (≤2°) filter to the live window above would have removed the two REJECTED/open trades (EURJPY SHORT, AUDUSD LONG) — both are currently unconfirmed and likely low-phase-conviction. It would also have excluded the two wkjudas LOSSES (GBPUSD LONG, USDJPY SHORT) if their phase distance exceeded 2°, which is plausible given their poor timing. The remaining six trades (four wins, one loss, one open) would shift the window win rate from 4/6 (66.7%) to 4/5 (80%) on closed trades, but the sample is too small to infer a real PnL delta — roughly +0.2R to +0.5R if the two excluded losses were indeed filtered. The filter's backtested +4.3pp is not visible in this tiny window; it only removes uncertainty, not guarantees profit. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, a TIGHT p Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com