IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 6 — improves win rate from 31.5% to 35.6% (+4.0pp, n=919) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying a minimum of 6 confirmations would have filtered out the three REJECTED/open trades (USDCHF LONG, EURJPY SHORT, AUDUSD LONG) — all of which are currently unresolved and likely entered on weaker signals. Among the seven closed trades, all had at least 6 confirmations (they were winners or losers based on other factors), so no closed-trade outcome changes. The live win rate in this window would shift from 4W/3L (57.1%) to 4W/3L (57.1%) — no delta, because the rejected trades are not yet resolved. The backtested +4.0pp improvement is not visible here; the filter's benefit appears only in avoiding low-confidence entries that later fail, which this small sample cannot confirm. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, raising the confirmation threshold to 6 should reduce trade frequency by roughly 15– Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
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