Why the study?
Omics-based biomarkers for CAD have shown limited performance, leaving it uncertain whether a biological signal is absent or obscured by inadequate modelling of baseline physiology such as age.
Does covariate-aware modelling incorporating age and clinical risk factors improve the diagnostic discrimination of serum-derived extracellular vesicle FTIR spectra for coronary artery disease in patients undergoing coronary CT angiography?
Does covariate-aware modelling incorporating age and clinical risk factors improve the diagnostic discrimination of serum-derived extracellular vesicle FTIR spectra for coronary artery disease in patients undergoing coronary CT angiography?
Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
Extracellular vesicle molecular signatures of coronary artery disease are age-dependent and require covariate-aware modelling incorporating age interactions to achieve meaningful diagnostic discrimination.
Background Omics-based biomarkers for coronary artery disease (CAD) have shown limited performance, raising uncertainty as to whether this reflects the absence of a biological signal or inadequate modelling of baseline physiology. Purpose To determine whether CAD-associated extracellular vesicle (EV) molecular signatures are intrinsically age-dependent and therefore obscured in conventional biomarker models. Methods We analysed liquid-phase FTIR spectra of serum-derived EVs from 575 participants undergoing coronary CT angiography. Spectra (1,022 wavenumbers) were modelled using elastic net and random forest approaches. We compared unadjusted models with covariate-aware models that incorporated age, sex, and cardiometabolic risk factors and tested covariate×spectral interactions. Performance was assessed using 200-fold bootstrap resampling. Results Spectra-only models performed at chance level (AUC 0.53, 95% CI 0.47–0.60), suggesting minimal independent diagnostic signal. Clinical covariates exerted widespread influence on EV spectra (sex, n=167 bands; hypertension, n=112; age, n=50), with extensive covariate×CAD interactions. Incorporating interaction terms markedly improved discrimination (AUC 0.77, 95% CI 0.72–0.82; ΔAUC +0.24, p<0.001), with dominant contributions from age-dependent effects. Key signals localised to amide II (~1547 cm⁻¹), carbohydrate/phosphate (~1020–1068 cm⁻¹), and lipid (~1477 cm⁻¹) regions, consistent with protein structural changes, metabolic remodelling, and lipid perturbation. These patterns indicate that CAD-associated EV signatures are not independent signals but represent age-dependent molecular shifts amplified in disease. Conclusion Extracellular vesicle molecular signatures of CAD are not absent, but age-dependent and therefore obscured in naïve models. CAD appears to manifest as an acceleration of baseline molecular ageing processes in circulating vesicles. These findings provide a mechanistic explanation for the limited performance of omics biomarkers and support age-aware modelling as a prerequisite for clinically meaningful biomarker discovery.
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Fathieh et al. (2026) studied this question.
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