A machine-learning method for the estimation of the background from jets misidentified as hadronic tau lepton decays

Backgrounds arising from quark- and gluon-initiated jets misidentified as hadronically decaying tau leptons constitute a major experimental challenge for analyses involving tau leptons. The MUltivariate Fake-Factor INference (MUFFIN) approach, a machine-learning-based method for estimating this background directly from observed events, is presented. Boosted decision tree reweighting is used to learn multidimensional, per-object correction factors directly from observed data, thereby modelling the jet to hadronic tau lepton misidentification probability across the kinematic and topological phase space without relying on low-dimensional parametrisations. Performance studies are presented using proton-proton collision data collected by the CMS experiment at the CERN LHC at √ s = 13.6 TeV, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 62.4 fb -1 . Compared to low-dimensional parametrisation methods, improved modelling of key kinematic observables is achieved, particularly in regions of high p T . The improved modelling leads to a reduction of up to 70% in the systematic uncertainty associated with jets being misidentified as hadronically decaying tau leptons. The MUFFIN method provides a robust and scalable method for background estimation in precision measurements and searches for beyond-the-standard-model physics involving tau lepton final states.