Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
Two billion years ago a uranium deposit in present-day Gabon sustained fission reactions, and the isotopic abundances it left behind record the energy of a neutron-capture resonance in samarium-149 at that epoch. Because the resonance energy is exquisitely sensitive to the fine-structure constant, the record bounds any change in alpha since then to between -9.00e-08 and 1.20e-07 (Damour and Dyson 1996). Averaged over the 1.8 billion year interval the upper edge corresponds to a mean rate of 6.67e-17 per year. Expressed against logarithmic accumulation with expansion, the bound limits the coupling to 8.86e-07. The reactor bound and the laboratory-clock bound are consistent, and each disciplines the other: the reactor integrates over deep time, the clocks measure the present slope. Computed from published inputs, not measured.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
William Alexander Aldred (2026) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 8 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: