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Using panel data for the 16 administrative-territorial units of the Andijan region for 2017–2024, this article assesses the factors influencing employment and forecasts the employment structure of Uzbekistan for 2026–2030. Based on the cluster-robust Mundlak test, a fixed-effects model is employed to assess the impact of investment activity on regional employment. Sectoral regressions are used to determine the wage elasticity of employment, while a SARIMA model provides sectoral forecasts. The limitations of the models, including short time series and a small panel dataset, are also discussed.
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Zafarbek Iminov (2026) studied this question.
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