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BACKGROUND: Multiple first-line immune checkpoint regimens are approved for advanced melanoma, yet no biomarker reliably guides their selection. LAG-3, an inhibitory checkpoint enriched on exhausted immune cells, may reflect tumor-immune state beyond PD-L1 and guide therapeutic decisions. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed Tempus platform data . Among 2,177 patients with advanced melanoma and RNA sequencing, 145 received first-line PD-1 monotherapy and 222 CTLA-4/PD-1 combination. LAG3 and CD274 (PD-L1) transcript levels were evaluated as dichotomous variables. Outcomes included objective response rate (ORR) at 90 days and real-world overall survival (rwOS). We assessed treatment-biomarker (LAG3/CD274) interactions and performed statistical de-correlation and fit treatment-specific multivariable Cox models including LAG3 expression, CD274 expression, and estimated CD8 T-cell infiltration . We also explored LAG3 association with immune infiltrate, tumor mutation - and neoantigen-burdens. RESULTS: Under monotherapy, high LAG-3 was associated with improved outcomes, ORR (67% vs 15%, p = 0.002); risk of death (HR 0.64; p < 0.001). In contrast, ORR and risk of death were similar for the combination cohort regardless of LAG-3 expression (HR 0.94, p = 0.6). After de-correlation, LAG-3 retained significant association with rwOS under monotherapy, whereas the association for CD274 was attenuated, indicating non-redundant biomarker information. In multivariable Cox analysis including continuous LAG3, CD274, and estimated CD8 T-cell infiltration, LAG3 remained independently associated with improved rwOS in the PD-1 monotherapy cohort (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.32-0.91; p = 0.021), whereas neither CD274 nor CD8 infiltration remained significant. No biomarker significantly discriminated outcomes within the combination therapy cohort. CONCLUSIONS: These findings support further validation of LAG3 RNA expression as a candidate biomarker for frontline immunotherapy selection in advanced melanoma.
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Mehmi et al. (2026) studied this question.
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